LANCASTER – A 20-year-old homeless man accused of fatally stabbing another man after a 5-year-old boy’s birthday party has been ordered to stand trial on a charge of second-degree murder. Eric Hernandez is charged in the April 16 slaying of 25-year-old Salvador Santos, who was killed after he asked a group of suspected gang members to stop smoking marijuana at the Palmdale party. Hernandez was bound over for trial following a preliminary hearing Tuesday on one count of murder and an allegation that a knife was used, prosecutors said. He remained in custody in lieu of $980,000 bail. Investigators said Hernandez was one of several men believed to be gang members and associates who were invited to the party by someone in the birthday boy’s family. AD Quality Auto 360p 720p 1080p Top articles1/5READ MOREBlues bury Kings early with four first-period goals Officials said several suspected gang members were smoking marijuana in the front yard of the Fifth Street East home when Santos asked them not to use drugs at the house – particularly during the boy’s birthday party. It is unknown if Hernandez was one of the men smoking marijuana at the time. Several hours after the initial confrontation, Santos confronted the group again, and the argument escalated into a fight. Others at the party tried to restrain the men when they began exchanging blows. While Santos was being held back, a man investigators believe to be Hernandez approached him and stabbed him nearly a dozen times, detectives said. The assailant got in a car and drove away. Santos was rushed to Antelope Valley Hospital, where he was pronounced dead soon after arrival. Hernandez was arrested several weeks later after he was seen driving away from his mother’s house on Third Street East in Lancaster, deputies said. Karen Maeshiro, (661) 267-5744 firstname.lastname@example.org 160Want local news?Sign up for the Localist and stay informed Something went wrong. Please try again.subscribeCongratulations! You’re all set!
View comments Flags of SEA Games countries raised at Athletes Village SEA Games in Calabarzon safe, secure – Solcom chief Read Next Gonzaga, PH look to make most of games left in AVC Despite his unusual arrangement, Jose still makes it a point to show that he’s all in for both teams.And what better way for the former FEU stalwart to prove that for Cignal than with his stellar play in the semifinals, uncorking a game-high 24 points and 11 rebounds off the bench to help his side sweep Marinerong Pilipino, 87-64 in Game 2 to book its ticket to the 2017 PBA D-League Foundation Cup Finals.FEATURED STORIESSPORTSWATCH: Drones light up sky in final leg of SEA Games torch runSPORTSSEA Games: Philippines picks up 1st win in men’s water poloSPORTSMalditas save PH from shutout“I knew I had to give my best because I’m unable to attend our practices because I had to go to Gilas. So I make it a point that in the games, I’ll really give my all,” he said in Filipino.Even coach Boyet Fernandez admits that with Jose largely out of the team’s practice sessions, his hand is forced to keep the bruiser come off the bench. But that didn’t seem to affect the output of the 6-foot-4 forward, doing it all for the Hawkeyes as he averaged 20.5 points and 9.5 rebounds through the course of the semifinals. LATEST STORIES UPLB exempted from SEA Games class suspension LOOK: Venues for 2019 SEA Games “I’m really thankful for Raymar. He’s pulling a double duty and he still gives his all no matter what,” said the mentor.Gilas Pilipinas is set to leave for Kuala Lumpur in the 2017 Southeast Asian Games on Friday and with the finals set to start next week, after CEU extended their semis against Flying V, Jose will miss the championship series. Man sworn in as lawyer by judge who sentenced him to prison as a teen 20 years ago Raymar Jose. PBA IMAGESDivided in his attention with Gilas Pilipinas and Cignal HD, Raymar Jose knows that he has to give his all whatever jersey he’s wearing.But the two parties understand that national cause comes first, which meant the hardworking forward missing much of the Hawkeyes’ practices.ADVERTISEMENT Brace for potentially devastating typhoon approaching PH – NDRRMC WATCH: Streetboys show off slick dance moves in Vhong Navarro’s wedding Catriona Gray spends Thanksgiving by preparing meals for people with illnesses PH billiards team upbeat about gold medal chances in SEA Games PLAY LIST 03:07PH billiards team upbeat about gold medal chances in SEA Games02:49World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games05:25PH boxing team determined to deliver gold medals for PH00:50Trending Articles01:35Panelo suggests discounted SEA Games tickets for students03:04Filipino athletes share their expectations for 2019 SEA Games00:45Onyok Velasco see bright future for PH boxing in Olympics02:25PH women’s volleyball team motivated to deliver in front of hometown crowd01:27Filipino athletes get grand send-off ahead of SEA Games Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. MOST READ
About the authorFreddie TaylorShare the loveHave your say Chelsea whizkid Mount content with different England roleby Freddie Taylor11 days agoSend to a friendShare the loveChelsea star Mason Mount was content with his position in the team for his first full England international start.Mount played in the 2-1 loss to the Czech Republic on Friday in Prague, admitting that he found it a little difficult playing in a central role, as he is used to playing off the left flank for Chelsea.But the 20-year-old knows that he must adapt to different positions to be successful.He told reporters: “Obviously, I am more used to playing off the left and coming in. It was not too much different – but obviously I was a bit more central.”A couple of days before the game we were working on shape and how we wanted to play – me being central but Jadon coming in as well off the line and trying to combine. But the Czechs made it difficult for us.”It is something you learn from. We will look back on the game and take a lot of negatives which we can improve on, but we will also take some positives. We can improve on that.”
A paradox is a situation when a mathematician proves a thing true which is otherwise untrue. The latest CII report on net job creation in the MSME sector probably falls in this category of paradox as against all gloom over joblessness in the country. The report was a surprise because only a few weeks ago NSSO’s leaked survey said the unemployment rate was worst in 45 years. The chairman of PM’s Economic Advisory Council had said, “We will have a new round of the NSS which will… show …substantial employment and substantiated job creation”. Now CII has come up with a survey that proves his claim. Everything seems to have a pattern in this election season. The CII report claimed that MSME sector in India has shown a 13.9 per cent net increase in jobs in the last four years, ie a 3.3 per cent growth per year. It was the result of surveying 1.05 lakh selected MSME firms based in 350 industrial centres across 28 states of the country. CII research scholars, let us assume they are bonafide, seem to have forgotten to verify the survey results they landed at with other tools available. A little common sense will convince that the level of growth in job creation should have been reflected in the growth pattern of everything of or related to MSMEs, such as investment, credits, production, electricity consumption, deployment of machineries, and the status of their being operational or closure etc on the one hand, and savings, consumption, and well-being of the employees on the other on the other. Since MSME is the second largest sector in providing employment in the country giving employment to about 12 crore people, such level of net job creation should have not been gone unnoticed by common people as well as experts. One cannot understand as to why there is no explanation on the fact that out of about 63.4 million registered units few millions remained non-starter, and another few millions shut down. As per a report published by SIDBI in association with TransUnion Cibil only 51 million MSME units were operational at the end of the period under consideration. Shutting down or closure of about 12.4 million units does not reflect the growth. Every document, the government’s and the institutions’ mentioned the adverse impact of demonetisation and implementation of GST, from which the MSMEs are now recovering, albeit slowly. Even RBI mentioned the dual economic disruption for the corresponding period in connection with the credit off-take by MSMEs which remained very poor along with overall NPA rate for the sector hovering around 8 to 11 per cent. One of the SIDBI-Cibil report mentioned that default rate among the MSME borrowers taking multiple loans for a period of 60 days have increased from 2.5 per cent to 4 per cent during September 2015 to September 2018. Even Industry people claim that MSMEs are in crisis and therefore, they are not able to earn even enough to pay their debt. Had there been growth in jobs, it would have been translated into earning of the MSMEs with less number of defaulters. One cannot also ignore the fact that the growth of MSME GVA has been sharply declining since 2012-13 when it was 15.27 per cent. The latest data available with the Central Statistics Office (CSO) shows that the growth rate declined to 7.62 per cent at the end of March 2016 per cent of the GDP. When we consider it in the backdrop of the widening of the domain of this sector across sectors of the economy producing a diverse range of products and services the relative growth of each individual sector, it is clear that all of them are declining. The trend aggravated more sharply after demonetisation and introduction of GST. In the backdrop of the recent controversy over ‘jobs’ and ‘joblessness’ in India, the CII survey itself has become a suspect. First, because the report lauds certain Union Government’s programmes such as a beneficiary does. Secondly, the pragmatics of language reveals that its language is not that much neutral as a research work or survey requires. Thirdly, it has its limitation too obvious, because the data on which the report is compiled is provided by the government’s Labour Bureaus. Fourthly, it has a very small fresh empirical data set that cannot be treated as conclusive and quality of sampling and analysing data is questionable. The sample is from the operating MSMEs while the job losses in about 12.4 million shutdown or closed units are not taken into consideration while calculating the net job creation. Moreover, the claim contradicts all available data provided by the government and other national and international institutions. In the fag-end of January this year, the leaked NSSO’s report said that joblessness in India touched 6.1 per cent, the worst since 1972-73, in July 2017-June 2018. The government was not ready to publish this report though it was scheduled to be released in December last year. Two of the senior members had to resign in protest. NITI Aayog clarified that the report was being processed, but not contradicted or approved the content. Aayog merely called it a draft report and promised to share it by March, which is yet to happen. NITI Aayog CEO, however, had accepted lack of good quality jobs and the crisis of the large informal and MSME sector. The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, a leading independent think-tank, said the country lost as many as 11 million jobs last year. Though the Govt of India claimed that MSMEs have created 11.10 crore jobs during 2014-18, we find discrepancies in the data. How such level of job creation is possible when even skilled persons are not getting jobs? For example, MSME technology centres skilled 6.42 lakh people but provided only 91.6 thousand jobs in four years. Under ATI, 2.07 lakh people were trained but only 43.7 thousand got wage employment, and 21.7 thousand could be self-employed. A recent RBI report said that the core problem of MSMEs of lack of access to formal finance remains which means the sector is still suffering from financial crisis. How can they have contributed to job creation up to such an extent while struggling for their own survival? Most probably the CII survey has landed at wrong conclusion. There is no reason to believe it to be true and all other directly or indirectly contradicting official and non-official reports false.(The views expressed are strictly personal)
Right wing James Neal — who leads the Knights in scoring this season — recorded 40 goals in the 2011-12 season and has scored at least 50 points four times in his career. Winger Reilly Smith brings more scoring touch (he notched 25 goals with the Florida Panthers in 2015-16) and respectable possession metrics to the table. And while winger David Perron’s career scoring pace of 48 points per 82 games doesn’t qualify him as an elite scorer, it still makes him a nice addition — through seven games, he’s tallied the third most points for the Knights. Vegas even managed to nab a three-time Stanley Cup-winning goaltender in Marc-Andre Fleury.4Fleury was a starter for only one of those three cups, but he played in at least 35 regular season games in the seasons the Penguins won those cups.But despite scoring some key pieces in the expansion draft, the Knights are still an expansion team. The average expansion team since ’92 collected just 57 points in its first NHL season — which is to say that the average expansion team hasn’t been very good.5For reference, only four teams in the past four NHL seasons have notched fewer than 57 points: the 2016-17 Colorado Avalanche, which is among the worst hockey teams in the history of the NHL; the 2013-14 and 2014-15 Sabers; and the 2014-15 Arizona Coyotes. And before the season began, some writers predicted that the Knights might even be very bad. (The regular kind of bad or, worse, the historically kind of bad.) Still, there’s hope for the Knights — they may just have to wait a few years.Five of the other nine expansion teams improved enough early on to qualify for the playoffs by their fourth season, and only three teams — the Atlanta Thrashers (who are now the second incarnation of the Winnipeg Jets), the Columbus Blue Jackets and the Nashville Predators — took at least six seasons to earn their first playoff berth. However, none of them became .500 teams by the end of their fifth season, and only a handful have become postseason mainstays. 1992-93Lightning+186.3+121.9-11.8+296.4 1993-94Panthers+130.7+162.1+155.1+447.9 1992-93Senators+217+76.8+18.9+312.7 2000-01Blue Jackets+295+73.5+31.7+400.2 1998-99Predators+254.9+18+2.9+275.8 One of those mainstays is the San Jose Sharks. Their first-season roster was middle-of-the-pack as far as expansion teams go, and while they struggled mightily early,6The Sharks won just 11 games during their second season. they’ve been by far the most successful expansion team of the past three decades in terms of playoff appearances: In their 25 seasons, they’ve made the postseason 19 times. But then there’s the case of the Thrashers/Jets, whose first-year roster matched San Jose’s in terms of previous season GVT but who, after 17 seasons, still haven’t managed to win a playoff game. An expansion team’s previous career GVT isn’t a guarantor of immediate success, but of the nine expansion franchises that came into the NHL between 1991 and 2001, only the Florida Panthers — whose previous career GVT is second only to the Knights — took less than a decade to get to the Stanley Cup Finals, making it in just their third season.7Despite a glut of playoff appearances, it took the Sharks 24 seasons to make their first Stanley Cup Finals. And three of the nine expansion franchises are still without a finals appearance to their credit.The Panthers, like the Knights, were able to snag an established goal scorer (Scott Mellanby) and goalie (John Vanbiesbrouck) in the expansion draft, so they had some crucial puzzle pieces in place from the jump. They also drafted well early on — they snatched Rob Niedermayer in their inaugural draft and Ed Jovanovski the following year — and that mix of fresh talent and solid veterans came together in a magical, rubber rat-infested run to Eastern Conference preeminence. We’re not sure how Vegas will draft, but if they’re able to score the right players, they may find themselves in a similar position as those early Panthers teams.But the sun has rarely shone in Sunrise since that early success — in the 20 seasons subsequent, the Panthers have made the playoffs only four times. For the Panthers, previous career GVT correlated with early success, but it meant little in the way of long-term franchise well-being.Truth is, expansion franchises since 1991 haven’t had a whole lot of success in terms of championships won. Only two — the Lightning and the Ducks — have lifted Lord Stanley’s mug, and neither did so within their first decade of existence.The Knights are off to a historically great start, but history also suggests they’re still probably looking at a spring void of playoff hockey. And if it’s a Stanley Cup they’re after, the Knights shouldn’t hold their collective breath. But who knows: maybe the Knights, with their historically good expansion roster, will shock the NHL. Source: Hockey-Reference.com, HockeyAbstract Three weeks into the NHL season, there’s little that makes sense in the standings. The Montreal Canadiens and the New York Rangers — Eastern Conference stalwarts in recent years — have combined for three wins.1One of which came when New York beat Montreal. Meanwhile, several of the league’s recent doormats — like the Philadelphia Flyers and the New Jersey Devils — are looking surprisingly dangerous. But perhaps the biggest oddity of all is this: The Vegas Golden Knights are playing some good hockey.Of course, it’s early and the Knights are up against some tough narratives: The quixotic practice of desert hockey hasn’t exactly worked out for the NHL to this point (looking at you, Phoenix), and no expansion team from the past 26 years has made the playoffs in its first season. But no expansion team from the past 26 years — or in the history of the NHL, for that matter — has gotten off to this good of a start, either.The Knights’ six wins in seven tries are remarkable considering how their expansion brethren have fared. Among the other nine expansion teams that began play since 1991, only three — the 1992-93 Tampa Bay Lightning, the 1993-94 Florida Panthers and the 1993-94 Mighty Ducks of Anaheim — managed to win more than one of their first seven games. And then there’s the case of the putrid 1992-93 Ottawa Senators, who didn’t win their second game until their 23rd try.What’s more, there’s reason to believe the Knights aren’t hovering around the top of the Western Conference standings by accident. The team’s roster — like all expansion teams — is largely a Frankenstein’s monster of the rest of the league’s broken parts. But the Knights cobbled together a decent group of players! (As far as expansion teams go, and as far as teams in the 2017-18 NHL go, too.) According to goals versus threshold (GVT) statistics,2GVT was developed by Tom Awad of Hockey Prospectus and is similar to baseball’s VORP in that it seeks to determine a player’s value in goals above what a replacement player would contribute. the Knights entered the NHL with one of the best expansion rosters of the past three decades.3We looked at expansion teams dating back to the league’s seventh expansion, which happened in 1991-92 and saw the addition of the San Jose Sharks. Average+201.4+78.6+36.6+316.7 PREV. CAREER GVT 2000-01Wild+95.8+50.9+10.8+157.5 Vegas has some of the best expansion talent everGoals versus threshold (GVT) in previous careers for expansion teams’ top 12 forwards, top six defensemen and top two goalies, since 1991 1993-94Mighty Ducks+51.1+70.5-2.3+119.3 1991-92Sharks+280.8+9.4-6.5+283.7 1999-00Thrashers+225+90.4+30.5+345.9 2017-18Golden Knights+277.7+112.8+136.9+527.4 YEARTEAMFDGTOT
To make the most of their abilities, young tennis players need training, coaching and good health. Then there’s another factor, also important and beyond their control: the luck of the draw.The careers of young Americans Ryan Harrison and Christina McHale show what a difference luck can make. When Harrison has been lucky in Grand Slam tournaments, he has been very good. But he’s usually been unlucky, drawing one of the tournament’s top players in the first round and losing. The latest Harrison conqueror was Grigor Dimitrov, the No. 13 player in the world, who straight-setted Harrison out of Wimbledon on opening day Monday in London. Harrison’s frequent early exits from Grand Slams have contributed to his fall out of the top 100.McHale, meanwhile, has been much more fortunate. She opens her Wimbledon campaign Tuesday against the 97th-ranked player in the world, Chanelle Scheepers. In the 17 Grand Slam tournaments where McHale could have faced a seeded player in the first round, she has done so just three times — and never had an opponent in the top 20.Along with the intended intrigue and variety, the random draw at tennis tournaments creates inequity. For the 128-player Grand Slam singles draws, this is, roughly, how the draw works: The best 25 percent of players are given seeds, and each of the 32 seeded players is slotted in a four-player pod in which the other three players are unseeded (kind of like our Burrito Bracket). In the first round, the seeded player plays one of the unseeded players in the same pod, and the other two unseeded players play each other. Drawing players randomly into these pods, rather than seeding all 128 of them, helps keep things interesting, creating tough sections of the draw and openings elsewhere.Every unseeded player has a one-third chance of drawing a seeded opponent in the first round, which is, generally, an unlucky draw. That’s not always the case: Sometimes the seeded opponent isn’t as tough as rankings suggest, because of weakness on the tournament’s surface or a recent injury. Drawing a weak seed near the bottom of the top 32 players can open up a player’s draw, since the next opponent wouldn’t be seeded.All else equal, though, if you’re unseeded, you don’t want to match up against a seeded player in the first round. Yet Harrison seems to be drawn inexorably toward seeded opponents by some as yet undiscovered magnetic field. In the 16 majors he’s entered as an unseeded player, he’s drawn seeded opponents nine times. By chance alone, he could have expected just five such tough matches. More than 98 percent of players with 16 opportunities to draw a seed in the first round should do so eight times or fewer, according to the binomial distribution. Harrison is in the unlucky 1 percent.Not so with McHale. About 13 percent of players who have played 17 majors as an unseeded entry, as she has, could expect to get three or fewer seeded opponents. She has also never drawn a top 10 opponent in the first round, something just 15 percent of players in her shoes could say.Against unseeded first-round opponents at majors, Harrison is a dominant force: He’s 5-2, including wins in his past five matches. Against seeded opponents, he’s 1-7; Harrison’s loss to Dimitrov Monday was his seventh straight against seeded opponents. All those first-round losses have contributed to Harrison’s drop in the rankings to 150 from 43 two years ago.Luck of the draw matters for non-Americans, too. I studied 18 young men and women at Wimbledon who have entered at least five majors without a seed. Together they have won half of first-round matches against unseeded opponents, but fewer than one-third of matches against seeded players.As hard as Harrison’s had it, he’s been blessed to avoid the fate of David Goffin. The 23-year-old Belgian has entered nine majors unseeded. Seven times he has drawn a seed in the first round, including four top 10 seeds. Of 1,000 players with his Grand Slam history, 999 could expect to have drawn fewer seeded first-round opponents, and fewer top 10 seeds.Goffin hasn’t won a Grand Slam match in two years, and his ranking fate has resembled Harrison’s: He’s dropped from No. 42 in the world to No. 105. His latest rough draw came against defending champion Andy Murray, the No. 3 seed at Wimbeldon. Murray dispatched Goffin in straight sets on Monday.
A long drive, deep over the outfield wall … without a boost from performance-enhancing drugs.It’s an old-time ideal that Adrian Beltre of the Texas Rangers has played out over and over again. Earlier this week, he smashed two home runs, closing in on a relatively exclusive honor: membership in the 400 home run club. (Beltre needs one more dinger to become a card-carrying member.)In our view, and according to advanced stats, Beltre should be a Hall of Famer someday. But we worry that he won’t be because his conventional stats lack that Cooperstown shine.Why do we think Beltre should be enshrined alongside the likes of Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig and Bill Mazeroski (more on him in a minute)? Beltre is a rarity — a player who excels at both offense and defense. And in both cases, that excellence is best illustrated using sabermetric measurements.1His offensive bona fides are also clear from such traditional statistics as home runs, of course. Among third basemen, Beltre, with his nearly 400 long balls, ranks fifth all-time; three of the four ahead of him are either already in Cooperstown or are locks to make it someday (Chipper Jones).For instance, in terms of per-plate appearance rates, Beltre ranks in the 80th percentile of his peers2Qualified hitters (according to Fangraphs’ leaderboard) who played between 1998 and 2015. in isolated power, the 70th percentile in contact rate, the 50th percentile in speed and the 82nd percentile as an overall hitter. (His only real offensive weakness is a 27th-percentile walk rate.) And those are just the rate statistics; Beltre’s durability has also seen him notch the second-most at-bats of any active player and the 53rd-most of any player ever.That longevity is a big reason why Beltre ranks ninth all-time in offensive wins above replacement (oWAR) among third basemen. Only one non-Hall of Famer, the easily forgettable Toby Harrah, ranks higher, and Beltre should pass him (plus Home Run Baker) this season, assuming that Beltre’s 2015 oWAR resembles his yearly output over the past five seasons. In fact, based on projections from Baseball Prospectus, there’s a good chance that the only players ahead of Beltre in oWAR by the end of his career will be offensive juggernauts Wade Boggs, George Brett, Chipper Jones, Eddie Mathews and Mike Schmidt.And defensively, Beltre’s advanced numbers are among the best ever. Per defensive WAR (dWAR) and defensive runs saved above average (DRAA),3Defense is harder to measure than offense, and traditional measurements have a way of propping up horrible defenders (see Jeter, Derek). But advanced statistics such as dWAR and DRAA (which is based on video-tracking data for recent seasons and estimated “zone ratings” for years before that) seem to capture defensive skill well. All modern players in the top 10 for DRAA have won at least one Gold Glove, and all but two have won at least four. Beltre is the second-best defensive third baseman in baseball history. Only Brooks Robinson, whom Reds manager Sparky Anderson had nightmares about after Robinson’s unforgettable defensive performance in the 1970 World Series, ranks better. According to dWAR, only 19 other players (across all positions) in baseball history were more valuable defensively than Beltre has been.The defender most like Beltre at this point is Mazeroski, who made it to the Hall almost entirely on his defense. Beltre, by contrast, combines Mazeroski-like defense with vastly superior offensive stats and greater durability.Yet, we worry about Beltre’s fate because his traditional measurements lag behind his advanced ones. The case against Beltre starts by saying that his nearly 400 home runs may be somewhat devalued by the steroid era — more than half of the club’s 51 members hit the majority of their home runs in the 1990s or 2000s — even if Beltre has never been implicated for steroid use. And Beltre’s other impressive credentials (four Gold Gloves, four Silver Sluggers and four All-Star Game nods) are good, but not great. Eric Chavez, for example, will only see Cooperstown as a visitor, but he won six Gold Gloves at third base. In addition, Beltre is unlikely to hit above .290 for his career or win a most valuable player award, and he has never won a World Series (only playing in a single Fall Classic).Simply put, Beltre’s conventional résumé falls short of Cooperstown’s traditional benchmarks. While there is no generally accepted baseball equivalent of Basketball-Reference.com’s Hall of Fame probability metric, Bill James developed a few good ways to gauge a player’s traditional statistical portfolio: the Hall of Fame Standards and Monitor tests, as well as the Black Ink and Gray Ink tests. Together, those metrics measure how well a player met certain (admittedly arbitrary) benchmarks that, historically speaking, are strongly correlated with Hall of Fame induction.In the “Ink” tests — which measure how often a player led the league and finished among the top 10 in important statistical categories — Beltre sits well behind the typical Hall member. He does fare somewhat better in the other, benchmark-based calculations (though he still ranks below average in both the Standards and Monitor tests), and at just 36 years old, Beltre still has time to add to his totals. But overall, he may not even have a coin flip’s chance at the Hall of Fame, according to traditional gauges. A logistic regression between the James metrics and Hall of Fame enshrinement for the eligible players on Baseball-Reference.com’s leaderboards4With additional variables for a player’s era and whether a player was publicly linked to steroids. would assign Beltre a mere 18 percent chance of induction if he retired today.But our hope is that Hall of Fame voters are slowly moving past the older considerations. If they look instead at Beltre’s advanced numbers, they’ll see a Hall of Fame worthy outlier. Look at the Jaffe WAR Score system, or JAWS.5For those curious, the eponym behind the number is Sports Illustrated’s Jay Jaffe. Built on the foundation of WAR, JAWS attempts to strike a balance between players who compiled value over a long period of time (think Paul Molitor, whose JAWS was 57.5) and those who burned brightly for a shorter span of seasons (think Jackie Robinson, whose JAWS was 56.8). And the difference between Beltre’s actual JAWS and what we’d predict from his conventional credentials6As measured by a regression using the James metrics. is stark.Beltre is one of only 10 non-Hall of Famers7Among either eligible players who were not elected or those ineligible for induction. in major league history to produce a JAWS rating above that of the average Hall of Famer, despite a predicted JAWS below the average Hall of Famer.8Predicted JAWS is designed so that its average equals the average JAWS.How can there be such a big difference? It’s partly because predicted JAWS doesn’t take into account defense (because it’s using conventional stats) and actual JAWS does. As we noted previously, defense is very hard to measure in a conventional sense. That’s especially the case at third base, where people can’t even agree on the best skill set for the position. It used to be impossible to say what exactly a player’s defensive range was, for instance. That’s why James’s metrics don’t make much of an attempt at incorporating defense, with the exception of taking into account a player’s position and where it sits on the defensive spectrum.But now we can understand how valuable Beltre is defensively. And we know that his mixture of offensive and defensive production for a third baseman is very rare.The question left is whether Hall of Fame voters will see things that way, conventions be damned.
Manchester City is still unrelenting in their move for the Real Betis’ defender Junior Firpo, according to Mirror.Firpo’s place in the team became more important after Pep Guardiola’s frustration following Benjamin Mendy’s injury in the previous season.Although Firpo will not come at a cheap price for Guardiola’s side because of the release clause which Real Betis’ has placed on the youngster. It is known that there is a £54m to him should City really seek his place in their team.Premier League Betting: Match-day 5 Stuart Heath – September 14, 2019 Going into the Premier League’s match-day five with a gap already beginning to form at the top of the league. We will take a…The report also has it that Guardiola has had his eye on Firpo after he was called to join Spain’s Under-21 and is consistently making a name for himself. This report was made according to the claim by Eldesmarque.If City is able to sign Firpo over to their side, it will bring their left-back squad only up to a £100m worth. This shows how important the club manager takes this position.
Dear ComradeTwitterVijay Devarakonda’s Dear Comrade has hit the rock bottom at the box office in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana (AP/TS) on Tuesday and collected lesser amount than last week’s release iSmart Shankar.Dear Comrade opened to a big response in the Telugu states on July 26 and word of mouth helped it remain strong on the following days. Having made a good collection, the movie recovered around 60 per cent of the distributors’ investment in its opening weekend. But considering its hype and promotion, its business was not up to the mark. The distributors hoped that it will earn well on weekdays.But to their shock, Dear Comrade witnessed a steep decline in its collection at the AP/TS box office on Monday and its business hit the rock bottom on Tuesday. Andhra Box Office tweeted, “#DearComrade : Huge Drop on 1st Monday. Not Looking Good!.” Today it added, “#DearComrade Crashes on weekdays with some areas reporting Nett Figures lesser than Rentals.”Dear Comrade has failed to collect even Rs 50 lakh gross at the AP/TS box office on Tuesday. According to buzz on social media, it has just added Rs 25 lakhs to the total distributor share of Rs 13.85 crore in the Telugu States. Telugu 360_BO tweeted, “#DearComrade went down further on Tuesday with a distributor share of 25 lakhs in the Telugu States. 5 days AP/TS Share : 13.85 Cr Breakeven : 22.60 Cr.” iSmart ShankarTwitterAnother buzz on social media is that Ram Pothineni’s iSmart Shankar has collected more money than Dear Comrade in the Telugu state on its 13th days. Sai (@saipspk1638) tweeted, “#iSmartShankar Day 13>#DearComrade Day 4 in APTG Shocking collapse by #DearComrade.”The distributors have spent Rs 22.60 crore on its theatrical rights for the Telugu states. Dear Comrade has recovered 61.28 per cent of their investment. What is shocking about its collection is that the movie has just returned 1 per cent of their investment on Monday and Tuesday together. Considering its present trends, the film is heading to be a disaster and likely to incur huge losses to its distributors.
.The body of a missing Dhaka University student was retrieved from a ferry ghat area of Bhairab river adjacent to Senhati bazar in Rupsa upazila on Saturday morning, reports UNB.The deceased was identified as Khalid Hasan, 19, a 3rd year student of Pharmacy department of the university, and son of Jalal Uddin, hailing from Shariatpur district.Md Rafiqul Islam, officer-in-charge of Rupsa police station, said that Khalid slipped into the Rupsa river around 8:00pm on Thursday while getting up from a trawler along with his brother Jahid Hasan, and went missing. A diver team of fire service carried out rescue drive till Friday but failed to trace Khalid. Locals spotted Khalid’s body in the river around 9:00am and informed police. Later police recovered the body and handed it over to his family members around 12:00pm, the OC added.